Jan 19 2022: COVID Weekly Data Update

This is the second week of very high numbers of new cases, and hospitalizations are increasing.  In addition to the data summary, here are a few items:New hospitalizations with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 among fully vaccinated and unvaccinated adults, and estimated vaccine effectiveness, age 18 years or older, New York (https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-breakthrough-data; downloaded 1/18/22).  Note that the majority of these cases would have been the Delta variant.

“I have no intention of getting infected” Guardian, 1/17/22 (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/16/no-intention-of-getting-infected-understanding-omicrons-severity):

  • Am I just going to get COVID no matter what I do?  No, taking precautions can still prevent infection: vaccines, masks, good ventilation, avoid crowds indoors.
  • Should I just get it and get it over with?  Terrible idea. It’s unpredictable; some get very sick, long COVID, and can infect immunocompromised people.
  • But isn’t Omicron mild? It’s less severe, but a lower risk of getting very sick does not mean no risk.
  • Is that why some people are still being hospitalized? The USA has record-high hospitalizations. It’s high transmissible: “a small percentage of a huge number is a very large number.”
  • What about the idea of being hospitalized “for” versus “with” COVID? COVID worsens another condition that rises to the forefront: complications from diabetes, heart disease, asthma, etc.  This will be coded as hospitalized “with” COVID, but it flared up because they had COVID.  Patients undergoing surgery or hospitalized due to accidents and testing positive for COVID are less common.
  • Does that mean the types of complications caused by COVID are changing?  Not only is it a respiratory virus – but “you can have strokes, heart attacks, kidney disease, liver disease, and then whatever long COVID is.”
  • What’s Omicron doing to hospitals?  It’s overwhelming the healthcare system, especially the workforce.
  • Do vaccines still help against Omicron?  Absolutely.
  • Sometimes it feels like each wave will last forever.  But are things getting better?  “I do think that we are on the verge of getting past at least the bulk of Omicron… You will start to see a decline.”  And new treatments that are effective at reducing severity are on their way.

Unvaccinated COVID-19 hospitalizations costs billions of dollars (https://www.healthsystemtracker.org/brief/unvaccinated-covid-patients-cost-the-u-s-health-system-billions-of-dollars/): The Peterson Center on Healthcare and the Kaiser Family Foundation estimated 690,000 vaccine-preventable hospitalizations from June to November of 2021, with an average hospitalization cost of about $20,000:  690,000 x $20,000 = $13,800,000,000 = $13.8 billion!

Weekly Updates:

Notes:

  • This week another pediatric death (less than 10 years of age) was posted on the dashboard.  This is the second pediatric death in the last two weeks. 
  • There were 39 deaths this past week.  The average number of deaths from influenza per year between 2010 and 2020 = 34.
  • There were 234 new hospital admissions this past week – the last time it was this high was in the fall of 2020. Of these 234 admissions, 30% were among South Dakotans less than 40 years of age.

Brookings County (highest level of spread)

  • 7,226 total cases:  622 new cases this week vs. 636 in the previous week.  Of the new cases this past week:
    • 26% were under 20 years of age (vs. 26% last week)
    • 44% were 20-39 years (vs. 46% last week)
    • 24% were 40-59 years (vs. 23% last week)
    • 6% were 60 years or older (vs. 5% last week)
  • Since December 29th, the largest percentage increase in cases has been in the 0-9 year age group (40%; n=137), and the largest increase in the number of cases has been in the 20-29 year age group (n=409; 24% increase). 
  • 1.463 active cases (946 last week)
  • Test positivity (PCR) this past week was 37% compared to 38% last week.  You want this below 5%, and the lower, the better. With the availability of at-home testing kits, this has become more difficult to interpret. 
  • 191 Brookings County residents have been hospitalized with COVID: 9 new hospitalizations posted this past week compared to 5 in the previous week.
  • 41 Brookings County residents have died of COVID: no deaths were reported this past week compared to no deaths in the previous week.
  • 56% of Brookings County residents have received at least one vaccine, 51% have received the full vaccine series, and 22% have received a booster or third shot. 

South Dakota (highest level of spread)

  • 211,885 cases: 13,973 new cases this week vs. 12,628 in the previous week.  Of the new cases this past week:
    • 22% were under 20 years of age (vs. 20% last week)
    • 37% were 20-39 years (vs. 42% last week)
    • 27% were 40-59 years (vs. 26% last week)
    • 14% were 60 years or older (vs. 12% last week)
  • 32,761 active cases (22,743 last week)
  • Test positivity (PCR) this past week was 40% compared to 36% the previous week.  You want this below 5%, and the lower, the better. With the availability of at-home testing kits, this has become more difficult to interpret.   
  • 9,577 South Dakota residents have been admitted to in-state hospitals with COVID: 234 people were admitted to in-state hospitals this week vs. 180 last week.  Of those admitted this past week:  
    • 4% were less than 20 years of age (vs. 5% last week)
    • 26% were 20-39 years (vs. 16% last week)
    • 23% were 40-59 years (vs. 15% last week)
    • 47% were 60 years of age and older (vs. 64% last week)
  • 392 people currently hospitalized vs. 336 hospitalized last Wednesday (76 currently in the ICU vs. 74 last week)
  • 2,573 South Dakotans have died from COVID:  39 deaths were reported this week vs. 27 in the previous week.  Of those who died this past week: 
    • 1 was less than 10 years of age
    • 1 was 20-39 years of age
    • 7 were 40-59 years of age
    • 30 were 60 years of age & older
  • 57% of South Dakota residents have received at least one vaccine, 51% have received the full vaccine series, and 21% have received a booster or third shot. 

USA

  • 68.76 million cases:  5.37 million new cases this week vs. 5.34 in the previous week
  • 877,240 total deaths:  13,344 deaths this week vs. 12,421 in the previous week

Worldwide

  • 335.1 million cases: 21.1 million cases this week vs. 17.5 million in the previous week
  • 5.57 million deaths: 51,817 deaths this week vs. 43,257 in the previous week 

Thank a health care provider – they deserve our appreciation. 

Published by Bonnysblog78398238

I'm interested in numbers.

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